Growth in Export Volumes as a Driver of Domestic Price Strengthening
By the end of 2025, grain export volumes increased from 8.26 million tonnes to 11.0 million tonnes (+33%). Supplies expanded both along traditional routes and through new routes, including the ports of the Black and Baltic Seas. Access to larger and more solvent markets enabled Kazakhstan to move from a local regional market and a limited pricing model to the broader global market.
Growth in Selling Prices as a Direct Benefit for Farmers
According to industry analytics, the price of Class 3 wheat reached $188 per tonne (≈95 thousand KZT), which is 40–50% higher than previous average procurement levels of approximately 65 thousand KZT. The expansion of export opportunities ensured an increase in the domestic value of grain across the country, including regions not covered by direct state support measures.
The Role of Transport Subsidies and Systemic Coordination
The mechanism for subsidizing transport costs made it possible to open access to remote markets, establish a higher export price benchmark, and strengthen competition for Kazakh grain. Even traditional buyers were forced to adjust their procurement prices upward.
Contribution of Industry Institutions
A significant contribution to the formation of export dynamics was made by the Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Grain Union of Kazakhstan, and Food Contract Corporation National Company JSC, which ensured the consolidation of the position of agricultural producers, analytical support, and the promotion of initiatives aimed at expanding sales markets. Systematic work to coordinate market participants made it possible to form a unified industry approach to export diversification and to obtain timely approval from government authorities.
Kazakhstan Temir Zholy JSC played a key role in ensuring uninterrupted logistics by providing infrastructure capacity, developing transit routes, and synchronizing the transportation process. The joint actions of market participants and the National Carrier made it possible to ensure growth in volumes without systemic disruptions.
Economic Return
The export potential of the season is estimated at approximately 12 million tonnes, including wheat and flour in grain equivalent. Additional income per tonne amounted to $40–45, providing agricultural producers with more than $500 million in additional revenue. At the same time, the amount of government spending on transport subsidies was approximately $60 million, demonstrating a multiplier return at a level of 1:8.
Multiplier Effect for the Economy
The growth of export opportunities triggered a comprehensive economic effect: increased income for agricultural producers, growth in investment activity in the agricultural sector, improved stability of the grain market, increased utilization of transport and port infrastructure, and expansion of the tax base. Agricultural producers became the key beneficiaries of this process, as the price increase occurred directly at the level of product sales.
Position of Astyk Trans JSC
Astyk Trans JSC views the development of export logistics and the diversification of sales markets as a strategic tool for strengthening the profitability of Kazakh farmers and ensuring the sustainability of the agro-industrial complex. The consolidation of efforts by business, industry associations, and the National Carrier is a key factor in the long-term competitiveness of the grain complex of the Republic of Kazakhstan.

